Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights · Western Conference Finals · NHL
COL
Colorado Avalanche
1st seed · West
Home court · Won MIN in 5
Western Conference Finals · Stanley Cup Playoffs
Best of 7 · Game 1 tomorrow May 20 @ Denver
COL 62.4%VGK 37.6%
VGK
Vegas Golden Knights
4th seed · West
Won ANA in 6
Predicted series
7 games
COL in 7
Avg score (COL)
4.1
goals per game
Avg score (VGK)
3.4
goals per game
Game-by-game score predictions
Scores modeled on each team's 2026 playoff goals-for/against averages (COL: 4.4 GF, 2.8 GA per game; VGK: 3.5 GF, 2.8 GA), home/away splits, and goaltending save percentages. COL's elite offence is the decisive edge, but VGK's playoff experience and T-Mobile Arena atmosphere keep this competitive.
Playoff scoring comparison
Colorado Avalanche
Goals/game4.4
Goals against/game2.8
PP%28%
PK%82%
Games played9
Vegas Golden Knights
Goals/game3.5
Goals against/game2.8
PP%21%
PK%84%
Games played12
Colorado Avalanche · Key players projected
Vegas Golden Knights · Key players projected
Projections (goals/assists/points per game) based on 2026 playoff performance, adjusted for opponent defensive structure. MacKinnon's underlying numbers (5.4 shots/game, 22 min TOI) make him the most dangerous player in this series.
Playoff path to the WCF
Colorado Avalanche
vs LA Kings (R1)Won 4-0
vs Minnesota (R2)Won 4-1
Total games played9
Goals scored (playoffs)40
Goals allowed25
Vegas Golden Knights
vs Utah (R1)Won 4-2
vs Anaheim (R2)Won 4-2
Total games played12
Goals scored (playoffs)42
Goals allowed34
Predicted series result
Avalanche
–
Golden Knights
Predicted winner: Colorado Avalanche in 7 → advance to Stanley Cup Final